AYALA CORPORATION (AC) – 11.12.2015

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Stock Analysis - JayceeDeGuzman.com

AYALA CORPORATION (AC)

As of November 12, 2015, at 03:30PM GMT+8, AC ranged between PHP729.00 and PHP770.00.
AC’s last price is PHP729.00 with a Percentage Change of -2.67% or -20.00 point(s).

Support: PHP701.50
Resistance: PHP783.50

MACD, at -1.56, shows that AC’s downward momentum is stronger than its upward momentum.
MACD is trending below the signal line.

RSI, at 31.8, shows that AC is neither oversold nor overbought.

Stochastic, at 10.76, shows that AC is oversold.

With a volatility of 21.11% and with its last price of 729.00, AC has:
= 68% chance of ranging between 575.08 to 882.92, and 32% chance of ranging outside that range after 12 months; OR
= 95% chance of ranging between 421.17 to 1,036.83, and 5% chance of ranging outside that range after 12 months; OR
= 99% chance of ranging between 267.25 to 1,190.75, and 1% chance of ranging outside that range after 12 months.

Note: These 68%, 95%, and 99% are constant percentages of probabilities that a price range might be hit after 12 months based on one standard deviation, two standard deviations, and three standard deviations, respectively. Be informed that we’re talking about possibilities and not certainties since implied volatility is not an exact science. While implied volatility helps you get a forecast of a stock’s possible price range after a certain time period, it doesn’t tell you the exact direction (trend) of the stock from here on until the end of the specified time period.

AC shows bearishness as its last price moves below the 5-day EMA.

Volume is 183.98% of the previous trading day.
Total Trade Amount on November 12, 2015: PHP213,993,639.94

All brokers’ buy average: PHP752.34
All brokers’ sell average: PHP-249,874.10

Note: Below are FOREIGN BROKERS’ numbers only. There’s a separate table where you’ll find FOREIGN INVESTORS’ Net Foreign Buying or Selling.

8 out of 11 active online foreign brokers traded AC.
Online foreign brokers’ Buy Average: PHP746.11
Online foreign brokers’ Sell Average: PHP739.27

Number of net buyers among the participating online foreign brokers: 4 out of 8
MACQUARIE bought the biggest number of shares among online foreign brokers amounting to PHP19,891,585.00
ATR sold the biggest number of shares among online foreign brokers amounting to PHP54,949,495.00

On a 30-day trading period, AC is on a Net Foreign Selling worth PHP103,052,750.00.

Jaycee De Guzman

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